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Upsets In 2023 Championship

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Not sure how many championship upsets weve had in recent years but intend to keep track of them here. The likes of Derry beating tyrone last year hardly be a big shock but a shock nonethless. Laois beating Dublin hurling 2019 might be last big hurling shock.
Lot of games to start championship this weekend - could New York to beat Leitrim be a potential shock ? Wexford to beat Laois ? Roscommon to beat Mayo ?

OpenStand (Limerick) - Posts: 677 - 04/04/2023 16:10:30    2468832

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Replying To OpenStand:  "Not sure how many championship upsets weve had in recent years but intend to keep track of them here. The likes of Derry beating tyrone last year hardly be a big shock but a shock nonethless. Laois beating Dublin hurling 2019 might be last big hurling shock.
Lot of games to start championship this weekend - could New York to beat Leitrim be a potential shock ? Wexford to beat Laois ? Roscommon to beat Mayo ?"
Mayo getting beaten defo not a shock, more a shock if they were to beat Galway again I think.

countyman2022 (Wexford) - Posts: 643 - 04/04/2023 16:38:58    2468848

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Westmeath drawing with Wexford last year was a shock, and it denied them a place in the Leinster final.

Báireoir (Dublin) - Posts: 80 - 04/04/2023 16:59:25    2468858

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Replying To OpenStand:  "Not sure how many championship upsets weve had in recent years but intend to keep track of them here. The likes of Derry beating tyrone last year hardly be a big shock but a shock nonethless. Laois beating Dublin hurling 2019 might be last big hurling shock.
Lot of games to start championship this weekend - could New York to beat Leitrim be a potential shock ? Wexford to beat Laois ? Roscommon to beat Mayo ?"
Upsets if they happen:
Roscommon beating Mayo
(Roscommon beating Galway)
Clare or Limerick beating Cork
Cavan beating Armagh
Down beating Donegal
(Cavan beating Donegal)
Fermanagh beating Derry
Westmeath beating Louth

legendzxix (Kerry) - Posts: 7879 - 04/04/2023 17:05:27    2468861

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Replying To OpenStand:  "Not sure how many championship upsets weve had in recent years but intend to keep track of them here. The likes of Derry beating tyrone last year hardly be a big shock but a shock nonethless. Laois beating Dublin hurling 2019 might be last big hurling shock.
Lot of games to start championship this weekend - could New York to beat Leitrim be a potential shock ? Wexford to beat Laois ? Roscommon to beat Mayo ?"
I think Clare beating Cork is a big potential. Not so much a shock but I favour Tyrone to beat Derry in Ulster.

London and NY are big potential banana skins. If Sligo are mentally still celebrating their Div 4 success London could be nicely positioned for an ambush. Because Leitrim just missed out on promotion I think they will be very focussed on NY but you never know. Both Leitrim and Sligo only bet the exiles by 4 points in both games last year and that was after both not playing a championship game since 2019.

MachaireConnacht (Roscommon) - Posts: 799 - 04/04/2023 18:43:10    2468880

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Replying To MachaireConnacht:  "I think Clare beating Cork is a big potential. Not so much a shock but I favour Tyrone to beat Derry in Ulster.

London and NY are big potential banana skins. If Sligo are mentally still celebrating their Div 4 success London could be nicely positioned for an ambush. Because Leitrim just missed out on promotion I think they will be very focussed on NY but you never know. Both Leitrim and Sligo only bet the exiles by 4 points in both games last year and that was after both not playing a championship game since 2019."
Woow!..... so Tyrone have already beaten Monaghan! ... A big shock to me! ... I was looking forward to that game, I didn't realize Tyrone have already won it!

Monaghan Exile (Monaghan) - Posts: 442 - 04/04/2023 20:20:40    2468906

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Replying To Monaghan Exile:  "Woow!..... so Tyrone have already beaten Monaghan! ... A big shock to me! ... I was looking forward to that game, I didn't realize Tyrone have already won it!"
You should be delighted I've taken ye out of a grueling Ulster championship and have ye fresh going into the group stage! Not saying I think it'll be easy for Tyrone but I'm tipping them for Ulster.

MachaireConnacht (Roscommon) - Posts: 799 - 05/04/2023 08:44:24    2468941

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Going by Patricia power odds each week I will only regard a team as an upset outsider if they are 2/1 or greater, there's 9 matchs this weekend with 8 falling into outsiders ie 2/1 or greater .Offaly/Longford is tighter in the betting so no real outsiders . So in week one we have
Antrim 10/1
London 13/2
New York 11/4
Clare 3/1
Waterford 5/1
Carlow 3/1
Wexford 11/4
Roscommon 3/1
Not sure any of them will win but Clare or Roscommon be best chance of upset

OpenStand (Limerick) - Posts: 677 - 05/04/2023 12:53:55    2469033

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Unfortunately shocks in Gaelic football rarely happen anymore.

Meath10 (Meath) - Posts: 183 - 05/04/2023 12:57:38    2469034

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Replying To legendzxix:  "Upsets if they happen:
Roscommon beating Mayo
(Roscommon beating Galway)
Clare or Limerick beating Cork
Cavan beating Armagh
Down beating Donegal
(Cavan beating Donegal)
Fermanagh beating Derry
Westmeath beating Louth"
Kerry beating an Ulster team in Croke Park in a match that matters

Jack L (None) - Posts: 3101 - 05/04/2023 19:40:18    2469153

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Replying To Meath10:  "Unfortunately shocks in Gaelic football rarely happen anymore."
A Div 1 team knocked out of provincila championship is not a shock any more. They are still gauranteed their place in AI series. Shocks should not classed as shocks when they occur in knockout phase of championship

Jack L (None) - Posts: 3101 - 05/04/2023 19:44:13    2469154

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Tyrone beating the Ulster champions could be a shock. I would guess that game will be in Armagh or Clones. The last Derry Tyrone semi final was in 2009 at Casement Park.

PattyONeill (Derry) - Posts: 224 - 05/04/2023 21:26:00    2469169

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Replying To PattyONeill:  "Tyrone beating the Ulster champions could be a shock. I would guess that game will be in Armagh or Clones. The last Derry Tyrone semi final was in 2009 at Casement Park."
Tyrone beating Derry would not be a shock at all. They beat Kerry and Armagh in the league and looked at times to have something about then again.

Jazzyjeff (Derry) - Posts: 165 - 06/04/2023 07:05:31    2469174

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Replying To Jazzyjeff:  "Tyrone beating Derry would not be a shock at all. They beat Kerry and Armagh in the league and looked at times to have something about then again."
Many Tyrone people including Peter Canavan predict a Derry win so it would be a shock, or maybe a surprise would be a better word.

PattyONeill (Derry) - Posts: 224 - 06/04/2023 12:01:41    2469239

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Replying To PattyONeill:  "Many Tyrone people including Peter Canavan predict a Derry win so it would be a shock, or maybe a surprise would be a better word."
First Tyrone have to beat Monaghan a Division 1 team, then Derry who are not long out of Division 4.

Saynothing (Tyrone) - Posts: 2017 - 06/04/2023 14:39:53    2469287

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Replying To Jack L:  "A Div 1 team knocked out of provincila championship is not a shock any more. They are still gauranteed their place in AI series. Shocks should not classed as shocks when they occur in knockout phase of championship"
agree with this.

take clare v cork. Would it really be a surprise if a team playing for a place in the AI beat a team that has nothing to gain except maybe a kicking off kerry before going into the proper competition?

the whole thing is watered down to such an extent now that it'll be hard to know what games to take seriously.

Greenfield (Meath) - Posts: 522 - 06/04/2023 16:04:44    2469306

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Louth getting to a Leinster final would be an upset. The last time they reached the Leinster was back in 2010. Before that it was 1960. The last time they won it was back in 1957. Louth only reached one Leinster semi-final since 1998 and that was in 2010. Big game against Westmeath in the Leinster Quarter-finals just over two weeks away were there is never much between the two teams. If they beat Westmeath they will play either Longford/Offaly or Meath in the semi-final. Longford beat Louth in 2020 in the Championship and Offaly beat Louth in 2021 in the Championship. Louth have not beaten Meath in the Championship since 1975. History is against us.

Ollie2 (Louth) - Posts: 786 - 06/04/2023 17:48:47    2469327

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Replying To PattyONeill:  "Many Tyrone people including Peter Canavan predict a Derry win so it would be a shock, or maybe a surprise would be a better word."
Derry would be favourites. I think it would be a tight enough game to be honest, both need to do their business in the quarters first but even if Tyrone won the Ulster Championship for me it wouldn't be a suprise.

Jazzyjeff (Derry) - Posts: 165 - 06/04/2023 18:24:56    2469331

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I think we'll see less upsets this year than previous years. The new format more or less kills a big underdog like Tipp reaching All Ireland semi final. The teams that come through the group stage and reach the Quarter final and are competitive or win those quarter finals will be the county with the best strength in depth and lucky to avoid injuries.

Gaa_lover (USA) - Posts: 3356 - 06/04/2023 18:48:38    2469334

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Replying To legendzxix:  "Upsets if they happen:
Roscommon beating Mayo
(Roscommon beating Galway)
Clare or Limerick beating Cork
Cavan beating Armagh
Down beating Donegal
(Cavan beating Donegal)
Fermanagh beating Derry
Westmeath beating Louth"
Westmeath will beat Louth and it won't be an upset!

Laoisvillian (Laois) - Posts: 79 - 06/04/2023 20:46:02    2469344

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