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How Many Points Is Home Advantage Worth?

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Studies in rugby reveal that home advantage is worth seven to twelve points - or close to a certain win when Munster play in Thomond Park - and in football (soccer), mathematical equations have been designed that find it worth somewhere between a goal and two, depending on a range of factors including attendance and a team's style of play.

How many points is home advantage worth in hurling and football?

legendzxix (Kerry) - Posts: 5438 - 11/07/2018 15:36:12    2120754

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Replying To legendzxix:  "Studies in rugby reveal that home advantage is worth seven to twelve points - or close to a certain win when Munster play in Thomond Park - and in football (soccer), mathematical equations have been designed that find it worth somewhere between a goal and two, depending on a range of factors including attendance and a team's style of play.

How many points is home advantage worth in hurling and football?"
I think the general consensus is 3 to 4 points in Gaelic football not sure about hurling. There was a study done in 2012 which showed games between teams competing in the same division over a number of years that showed there was an 81% win rate for the home team.

Not sure what the results have been over the last 5 or 6 years but I'd assume similar enough.

KY4SAM2015 (Kerry) - Posts: 694 - 11/07/2018 16:18:52    2120767

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Replying To KY4SAM2015:  "I think the general consensus is 3 to 4 points in Gaelic football not sure about hurling. There was a study done in 2012 which showed games between teams competing in the same division over a number of years that showed there was an 81% win rate for the home team.

Not sure what the results have been over the last 5 or 6 years but I'd assume similar enough."
Hardly matters we never get to play in Parnell Park

Damothedub (Dublin) - Posts: 4876 - 11/07/2018 17:00:42    2120774

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How much of an advantage do Kerry have playing only 2 games to reach the Super 8s compared to Donegal's 4?

If you're going to point out the unfairness of Dublin's two games in Croke Park, you should at least acknowledge the advantage Kerry have enjoyed for the past 134 years playing in a province with only 5 counties.

The championship has never been perfectly fair to all competing counties, Kerry should know that more than most.

bubba83 (Dublin) - Posts: 321 - 11/07/2018 17:27:07    2120778

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Replying To legendzxix:  "Studies in rugby reveal that home advantage is worth seven to twelve points - or close to a certain win when Munster play in Thomond Park - and in football (soccer), mathematical equations have been designed that find it worth somewhere between a goal and two, depending on a range of factors including attendance and a team's style of play.

How many points is home advantage worth in hurling and football?"
Not nearly as many as the amount of All Irelands it's worth over the course of the history of the GAA when you walk into an AI semi final and have no competition in your province where the counties are too busy playing hurling.

Dubh_linn (Dublin) - Posts: 1660 - 11/07/2018 17:28:54    2120779

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Replying To Damothedub:  "Hardly matters we never get to play in Parnell Park"
Nobody mentioned Dublin, but i know it must be embarrassing to be favoured with home games more then anyone else. Id probably be a bit paranoid myself.

Keep bringing up the excuse of some venue ive never seen ye set foot inside in years and everything will be ok..

KY4SAM2015 (Kerry) - Posts: 694 - 11/07/2018 17:57:25    2120788

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I'd go at least two of a twelve point whopping! :D

TheUsername (Dublin) - Posts: 1583 - 11/07/2018 19:14:43    2120807

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Replying To KY4SAM2015:  "Nobody mentioned Dublin, but i know it must be embarrassing to be favoured with home games more then anyone else. Id probably be a bit paranoid myself.

Keep bringing up the excuse of some venue ive never seen ye set foot inside in years and everything will be ok.."
Any idea the population of Croatia?

Damothedub (Dublin) - Posts: 4876 - 11/07/2018 21:55:01    2120830

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Replying To KY4SAM2015:  "Nobody mentioned Dublin, but i know it must be embarrassing to be favoured with home games more then anyone else. Id probably be a bit paranoid myself.

Keep bringing up the excuse of some venue ive never seen ye set foot inside in years and everything will be ok.."
Oh irony and wit are obviously lost on you

Damothedub (Dublin) - Posts: 4876 - 11/07/2018 21:55:57    2120831

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Home advantage is no advantage at all...or so some on here said when they said Kildare shouldn't have fought to play in Newbridge.....

KildareKelly (Kildare) - Posts: 472 - 11/07/2018 22:15:44    2120837

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Ooh! Ooh!

I know this one!

(Dubs' score - Dubs' opponent's score) +1

amiright?!?

Gavvygavgav (Dublin) - Posts: 258 - 11/07/2018 22:30:19    2120840

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Oh it worth about 5 All-Irelands in 7 years...

TheHermit (Kerry) - Posts: 3750 - 12/07/2018 10:23:36    2120908

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Ah the lads from the South West. At it again. Rattled beyond belief at this stage.

Jackeen (Dublin) - Posts: 3426 - 12/07/2018 11:53:12    2120945

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None - winning is all that matters

arock (Dublin) - Posts: 3683 - 12/07/2018 13:44:15    2120997

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Studies in rugby reveal that home advantage is worth seven to twelve points - or close to a certain win when Munster play in Thomond Park - and in football (soccer), mathematical equations have been designed that find it worth somewhere between a goal and two, depending on a range of factors including attendance and a team's style of play.

The question below is very straightforward...

How many points is home advantage worth in hurling and football?

The Waterford hurlers for example were at a disadvantage in the Munster Hurling Championship.

legendzxix (Kerry) - Posts: 5438 - 12/07/2018 14:14:23    2121008

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At least 15 points I'd say.

MesAmis (Dublin) - Posts: 11827 - 12/07/2018 15:21:02    2121034

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Just wondering...

Any studies available for the 2018 Munster Final yet?

jimbodub (Dublin) - Posts: 18333 - 12/07/2018 17:00:29    2121070

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Completely depends on the team and venue. In my opinion even the time of day can change the dynamics of a home field advantage. For example I would much rather travel to play a game in a hostile environment on a Sunday 2pm game than at 7pm under lights on a Saturday night. Overall I would guess around 4 points as stated by another poster above is probable on the ball.

white.n.blue (Monaghan) - Posts: 243 - 12/07/2018 18:06:09    2121090

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Replying To TheHermit:  "Oh it worth about 5 All-Irelands in 7 years..."
Hopefully soon to be 6 All-Irelands in 8 years

superbluedub (Dublin) - Posts: 1239 - 12/07/2018 18:41:18    2121096

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Replying To legendzxix:  "Studies in rugby reveal that home advantage is worth seven to twelve points - or close to a certain win when Munster play in Thomond Park - and in football (soccer), mathematical equations have been designed that find it worth somewhere between a goal and two, depending on a range of factors including attendance and a team's style of play.

The question below is very straightforward...

How many points is home advantage worth in hurling and football?

The Waterford hurlers for example were at a disadvantage in the Munster Hurling Championship."
Studies show if you are a large country, with massive advantages you will allways beat a smaller country with less funding , someone forgot to tell Iceland and Croatia with a combined population of less than six million beating the mega rich English in the last two tournaments
Studies also show you will ignore this point through green and gold eye blindness or alternatively post off a smug one liner

Damothedub (Dublin) - Posts: 4876 - 12/07/2018 18:46:17    2121098

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